Built for coaches · Trained on NFL and college play-by-play data
We are not trying to call the look for you. We rank the menu: which coverages and fronts are most likely to keep the offense off schedule on this snap. Then we check that ranking against what actually happened.
When you follow the ranking · 3,299 unseen plays
Almost twice as likely to keep them off schedule
Highest-ranked looks kept them off schedule 68% of the time. Lowest-ranked looks: 38%. Follow the ranking, and that is the difference.
Off-schedule rate by rank
We sorted every unseen play into four equal piles by our pre-snap stop ranking. Bars show how often the offense actually stayed off schedule. League average on these snaps is 54.4%. The ranking itself still beats a coin flip (63.6%) — that is the method check, not the claim.
True stop · unfavorable
This is not "they failed to convert." A true stop is yards below the snap's unfavorable floor — a loss that puts them behind the sticks. Those snaps are rare (15.4% of the holdout). When we liked the look, they happened a lot more often.
Off schedule by down
Same ranking, split by down. On 3rd down the highest-ranked looks kept them off schedule 75% of the time versus 27% for the lowest-ranked. That is the only down we lead with.
4th down (65 plays): 31% → 82%. Too few snaps to lead with.
You still call it
Every coverage and front scored for this down, distance, and field. You pick. We show what keeps them off schedule.
The ranking holds
Lowest-ranked looks kept them off schedule 38% of the time. Highest-ranked: 68%. Same 3,299 unseen plays.
Third down
On 3rd down the lowest-ranked looks kept them off schedule 27% of the time. Highest-ranked: 75%.
